As part of our work to ensure there is enough space for growing trade on Canada’s west coast, the port authority regularly commissions independent, third-party experts to produce container traffic forecasts that consider long-term trends in global markets and trade, as well as a range of other drivers of container traffic demand.
We recently updated our forecast using third-party expert analysis and our practical knowledge of the container sector to produce a long-term view of container trade on the West Coast. This forecast re-confirms that Canada’s west coast ports will run out of space to handle container traffic by the mid- to late-2020s, years before Roberts Bank Terminal 2 would be operational. Once space runs out, Canadian farmers, producers, and businesses will have difficulties sending and receiving their commodities and goods to and from overseas markets.
As you’ll see in the graph below, without RBT2 there will not be enough capacity on the West Coast to meet anticipated demand. The base case represents the scenario that we deem the most realistic and likely to occur by applying the most probable assumptions.
Learn more about our forecasts and methodology:
- Vancouver Fraser Port Authority Container Traffic Forecasts – VFPA View – 2020
- Drewry Shipping Consultants Ltd 2020 forecast
- WSP UK Ltd 2020 forecast